A stochastic space-time rainfall forecasting system for real time flow forecasting I: Development of MTB conditional rainfall scenario generator
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Stochastic Monthly Rainfall Time Series Analysis, Modeling and Forecasting ( A cas study: Ardebilcity
Rainfall is the main source of the available water for human. Predicting the amount of the future rainfall is useful for informed policies, planning and decision making that will help potentially make optimal and sustainable use of available water resources. The main aim of this study was to investigate the trend and forecast monthly rainfall of selected synoptic station in Ardabil province usi...
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Many applications require the ability to judge uncertainty of time-series forecasts. Uncertainty is often specified as point-wise error bars around a mean or median forecast. Due to temporal dependencies, such a method obscures some information. We would ideally have a way to query the posterior probability of the entire time-series given the predictive variables, or at a minimum, be able to dr...
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Rainfall is one of the most important components of the water cycle and plays a very important role in the measurement of climate characteristic in any area. Limitations such as lack of sufficient information about the amount of rainfall in time and space scale and complexity of the relationship between meteorological elements related to rainfall, causes the calculation of these parameters usin...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
سال: 2000
ISSN: 1607-7938
DOI: 10.5194/hess-4-603-2000